O. Kusiy,
a IIIrd year student, Faculty of Finance.
Donetsk University of
Economics and Law, Ukraine
INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND AND UKRAINE
Institutional
structure of the international monetary market is a set of international banks,
currency exchanges, currency funds, government agencies and international
organizations, which means the movement of capital in the field of
international monetary relations. International financial institutions are elements
of monetary and credit relations. One of these international organizations is
the IMF.
IMF is the
United Nations International Monetary and credit organization, whose objectives
are to promote international trade and monetary cooperation through the
establishment of regulations in exchange rates and monitor their
implementation, provision of member countries of foreign currency funds to
equalize the balance of payments.
The global economic and financial crisis has taken a severe toll on
Ukraine and policy implementation has been uneven. Economic growth in partner countries
and global financial market conditions have turned out worse than anticipated
at the time the program was approved. As a result, economic activity has
contracted sharply, resulting in budgetary strains. Confidence in the banking
system has waned, causing a continuous drain of deposits. At the same time,
political tensions and concerns about private sector defaults have kept CDS and
bond spreads at distressed levels.
The policy settings under
the program have been revised in light of the deterioration in the
macroeconomic outlook:
The fiscal target for 2009 has been
revised from balance in the original program to a 4 percent of GDP deficit.
Given better-than-expected developments in the balance of payments - with sharp
current adjustment more than offsetting the deterioration of the financial
account - the higher fiscal deficit can be financed without increasing the external
financing need, in part by redirecting Fund support to the budget.
Nevertheless, to ensure adequate cushion, staff also supports the authorities’ efforts
to mobilize additional financing from the donor community. The adequacy of
external financing will be reconsidered in the context of the next program
review.
A flexible exchange rate policy,
supported by base money targets and a transparent intervention strategy remains
a key component of the program. Given balance sheet effects associated with
unhedged foreign currency borrowing, the central bank stands ready to take
action to avoid excessive exchange rate depreciation, including by further
tightening of monetary policy.
Measures are urgently needed to
restore confidence in the banking system. Insolvent banks should be resolved,
and the next steps of the bank recapitalization program should be implemented
without delay, based on transparent technical criteria. Legal amendments
supporting these policies should be rapidly implemented.
The
authorities are committed to implement their revised program, but
implementation risks remain. The authorities have publicly announced the program
details, and the
Ministry of Finance and the National Bank of Ukraine are coordinating
effectively to resolve problem
banks and to restore financial stability. Going forward the most significant risk is further
political tensions that may disrupt the implementation of the program. The
political situation in Ukraine remains fragile. Other key risks include a
further deterioration
in the outlook for trading partners, a further delay in the expected
improvement in global
financial conditions and implications for the commitment of parent banks, and a sharper-than-projected
contraction in domestic demand.
The
economic downturn has been sharper than originally envisaged, mostly reflecting
the deterioration of the external environment. As a major steel exporter and borrower in
international markets, Ukraine’s private sector has been hit hard by the
deeper and more protracted slowdown of the world economy, the associated
decline in demand for steel products and the sharply
reduced access to capital markets. The economic impact of the
external shocks was exacerbated by the pre-existing economic and financial vulnerabilities
- in particular, widespread dollarization of private sector
liabilities, balance sheet mismatches, concentration of exports
in a limited number of commodities, and high inflation. Real GDP
contracted by some 8
percent in the last quarter of 2008, reducing annual growth for 2008 to 2.1
percent, and there is strong evidence of a further weakening in
the first quarter of 2009, as suggested by the decline in industrial
production.
The help of IMF to Ukraine is directed on
stabilization of functioning of a monetary and credit system, and money of
world bank - on financing of critical import, support of the budget and
financing of different investment projects. Despite it, in relations from IMF
it is necessary for Ukraine to consider not only positive aspects of such help,
and a complex of mutual recriminations which actually, are the concentrated
negative experience of many countries cooperating with this organization.
The IMF nevertheless plays an important role in
development of the international currency system, occupying one of the central
places in system international currency-financial institutions. Given IMF
credits is used by the countries-borrowers for overcoming of the economic
difficulties that plays an important role in development both internal economy
of such countries, and world economy as a whole.
Literature:
1. ̳æíàðîäí³
îðãàí³çàö³¿: Íàâ÷àëüíèé ïîñ³áíèê/ Çà ðåäàêö³ºþ Ã.Î. Êîçàêà, Â.Â.
Êîâàëåâñüêîãî.- Ê.: ÖÓË,2003.- 288ñ.
2. Ìåæäóíàðîäíûå âàëþòíî-êðåäèòíûå è ôèíàíñîâûå
îòíîøåíèÿ/ Ïîä ðåä. Ë.Í. Êðàñàâèíîé. - Ì.: Ôèíàíñû è ñòàòèñòèêà, 2000. - 498ñ.