Kinzerska I.
Donetsk University of Economics and Law
ASSESSMENT OF INVESTMENT ATTRACTIVENESS
The
most attractive investment companies are in the process of growth in the first
two stages of its life cycle. The companies on a stage of maturity are also
attractive investment in earlier periods, when they have not reached the
highest point of economic growth. Further investment takes place when the
products of the company have relatively high market prospects and the volume of
investments into modernization is small and investment can be returned in
short-terms.
Stages
of the enterprise life cycle are determined by the dynamic analysis of
indicators of output volume, total assets, amount of capital and profits for the
several last years. As the pace of change we can assess the stages of the enterprise
life cycle.
Financial
analysis of company’s activities assumes assessment of their investment
attractiveness. Its purpose is to assess of the expected profitability of the
invested funds, the terms of their return, and also identifying of the most
significant financial results of the investment risks.
The
most common methods of evaluating the investment attractiveness are:
1)
the definition of the term of the investment payback;
2)
calculation of the average return on investments;
3)
calculation of the current net value;
4)
determining of the internal rate of return.
The
payback period is determined by the number of years required to return the
initial investments. The main advantage of the indicator is the simplicity of
calculations and interpretation. And one of the shortcomings of this indicator
is that it ignores the impact of cash flows beyond the payback period.
When
we talk about high-risk investments, then the payback period should be compared
with the value of the life cycle of investments, the time interval during which
the investment project must produce income. If this period exceeds the
calculated payback period, then one should define the term during which the
company will have an additional income for investment in fixed assets. In the
case, when the payback period and life cycle are aligned, the company will
incur losses in the form of hidden costs. As a result the income could be
obtained from the invested funds.
The
method of the average investment yields on the principles of the calculation is
determined by dividing the average annual net income by the average value of
investments. The main drawback of this method is that it ignores the time
component of cash flows. The other two methods are based on a comparison of the
upfront investments value with a total sum of the discounted cash flows for the
life cycle of investments. Cash flows are net income plus depreciation.
To
determine the discounted value, first, you must determine the discount rate.
This rate of investment calculations is the level of the possible return of the
examined draft. Next, the sum of discounted cash flows, which were within the
life cycle of investment, is determined. This amount is compared with the cost
of the initial project costs. This implies a concept of net present value,
which is the difference between these two variables. If the positive figure can
be received after the payment, the investment project can be taken because the
total cash flow during the life cycle of investment capital will override,
increasing the market value of the company and providing the desired level of
return on the investments. If the NPV is a negative value, the project is
rejected. With the deficit of the financing short-term projects are preferred.
It
should be noted that under the crisis situation in economy the efficient usage
of quantitative methods in the evaluation of investment projects is reduced.
The uncertainty of the economic situation affects the quality of forecasts, and
because of this there is an increased risk in the evaluation of investments.
The high level of inflation explains the need of taking the future cash flows
into account.
In market economy conditions, most businesses rely on low
investments in their
operations. The main source of
investment in the economic environment is the stock market, which includes shares and
bonds issued by banks, shares of voucher
investment funds, banks and businesses bonds, and issue of emerging public companies shares.
The
securities market expands and gives access
to the resources needed for the
development of all economic entities. For example, the issue of shares can provide these
resources indefinitely, that is, for the period of the entire
existence of the enterprise. Bond
issue can provide a loan at more favorable conditions than in the banking environment.
Due to the
fact that the main targets
of transactions in the stock market
are the securities, a prerequisite
of a rational investment activity is the
ability to properly assess the quality
of securities – the potential targets
of investment.
Quality assessment of the main varieties of securities is based on the definition of financial stability of the issuer. Obviously, economically inefficient and unsustainable in
financial terms company is unlikely to adequately meet its obligations set out
in the documentary form of any of its securities.
To assess the investment
attractiveness of particular company securities, you can use a number of
factors that characterize its financial stability and economic efficiency. The
reliability of the securities is assessed by the financial statements of the
issuer. Analyzing the balance sheet and report on the results of financial
activities, one can calculate the three groups of indicators describing the financial
condition of the issuer:
• indicators of the first
group characterize the reliability of the whole enterprise;
• indicators of the
second group determine the reliability of the issuer in terms of invested in
securities funds return for an investor of the enterprise;
• the third group of
indicators can assess the reliability of the issuer in terms of guarantee of
the investor-specific income securities.
Ssecurities reliability analysis is based on the calculation of the above
indicators, a tabular form, where it is convenient to estimate the absolute
values of the indicators in aggregate, to compare them with those alternatives
and, ultimately, to assess their attractiveness to investors, is recommended to
be used.