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Rogovaya T.
Pogrebnyak. A
Scientific supervisor: Vlasova I.A.
Donetsk National
University of Economics and Trade
Named after
Mikhailo Tugan-Baranovsky
UKRAINIAN MONEY AND CREDIT POLICY IN A CONDITION OF FINANCIAL CRISIS
Bankruptcy
of the biggest American investment bank «Lehman Brothers» was the new stage of
financial crisis that caused the fall of stock markets all around the world
(30% drop in China, 20% drop in the USA, and 15% drop in the Western European
countries, on the average). This problem didn't pass over Ukraine, thus, the
national currency devaluation and the output fall continue, the rate of
unemployment increases and the inflation rate is growing. One of the ways to
solve these problems is the improvement of the money and credit policy.
The
world financial crisis caused economic condition worsening in almost all of the
countries: enterprises shut down, outturn falls, real personal income
decreases, and bank system condition becomes aggravated. According to Euro-stat
data, by November 1,2009 the unemployment rate in the countries of Euro area
reached 8%.
Though
Ukraine is not much integrated into the world economic area, it is among the
countries, upon which the financial crisis has the biggest impact. It has
already been in October that the index of the Ukrainian stock market «First
Fund Trading System» (FFTS) decreased by 65.7%, which was the biggest drop
among the other countries. Today, exchange rate of the US dollar towards the
national currency is characterized by galloping increase; the number of bad
loans is growing, the liquidity of banking system is decreasing, enterprises
lack the opportunity to take on credits at commercial banks; metallurgical
companies (that are providing 40% of all foreign currency receipts) use only
one half of their production capacities, and the demand for their products has
been decreased, etc.
In
order to solve these problems different approaches of state financial policy
are used, money and credit policy is among them.
Money
and credit (monetary) policy is a complex of the governmental actions and
measures in the area of money and credit markets, for example, regulation of
inflation and national currency, guarantee of timely payments by means of
regulation of banking system functioning, and of stability of money circulation
by means of emission management and further extension of banks' clearing
operations with physical persons in various consumer services, etc.
The
basic goal of money and credit policy is the support of economy to attain to
common production level that is characterized by full employment and firmness
of prices.
Strategic goals are the key ones in national economic policy. They
consist in securement of the GDP growth and high employment rate, in inflation
rate decrease, and in settlement of balance of payments. It is noteworthy that
within the frame of monetary policy these tasks are incompatible and cannot be
fulfilled simultaneously.
Transitional
goals are the changes in certain economic processes that aim at facilitating
the achievement of strategic goals, for example, targeting of monetary
aggregates, exchange rate, or inflation; absence of actual nominal constant.
Management of legal reserves, operations at the open and exchange markets, and
refunding of commercial banks are the operative tasks of the banking system
aimed at achievement of transitional goals that make up the tactical foundation
for money and credit policy.
Monetary
market and banking system are traditionally considered to be institutional
foundation for monetary policy. The National Bank that develops the basic
principles of the monetary policy is the principal agent of money and credit
policy. The Government, the Ministry of Finance, the Ministry of Economics and
the Supreme Council (Verkhovna Rada) are also engaged in the process of
monetary policy design.
It is
relevant to transform money and credit policy into more tough and consistent
one in order to improve the condition of the Ukrainian financial market. In
particular, the following steps should be taken: 5-6% should be taken off the
rate of commercial banks refinancing (that accounts for 12% at the moment).
This will make credits more available. At the same time, it is necessary to
impose control over credits allotted by banks in order to avoid the situation
when banks obtain 6-7% interest credits and allot 20-30% credits to
enterprises.
It is
noteworthy that the foundation for stable functioning of Ukrainian financial
market, as well as Ukrainian economy in general, is made up by the following:
political stability, consent of all branches of power concerning the government
state economic policy (that includes both, money and credit, and fiscal
policies), abandoning of populism, decision making that may be unpopular among
the citizens, however indispensable.
Thus,
the world financial crisis showed how vulnerable Ukrainian economy is to
exogenous (external) shocks. The Ukrainian Government and the National Bank
should use all possibilities for regulation. The money and credit policy, in
its turn, should use system-structural approach in order not to allow further
exacerbation of the crisis, to avoid further devaluation of the national
currency, to contain growing unemployment rate, and to increase reliance on the
banking system.
Bibliography
1. Frederic
Mishkin. Exchange Rate Pass-Through And Monetary Policy. -April 2008. -
http://www.nber.org/papers/wl 3889.pdf.
2. Mervyn King.
Monetary policy developments (Central Bank Articles and Speeches). -21.10.08. -
http://www.bis.org/review/r081024a.pdf.
3. Roste O.
Monetary Policy and Macroeconomic Stabilization: The Roles of Optimum Currency
Areas, Sacrifice Ratios, and Labor Market Adjustment. -
Publisher «Transaction
Publishers)), 2008. - p. 214.