Экономические науки/
2.Внешнеэкономическая деятельность.
Litovchenko T. A.
Vlasova I.
A.
Donetsk state university of economics and trade
after Michael Tugan-Baranovsky, Ukraine
The
Emergence of Market Economy in European Countries
Before considering the
transition to a market economy, we must consider the need for such a
transition. Today the need is clear: socialist and communist systems have
failed to deliver (in a liberal sense) anything like the standard of material
advance so often promised.
But more recent rasy
assessments of central planning abound. Even as late as 1979 the World Bank
published a long and detailed study of Romania – the most Stalinist of the
eastern block. The Bank found that from 1950 to 1975 the Romanian economy had
grown faster than any other country in the world (9,8 percent per annum). The
Bank attributed this startling performance to the fact that government, through
its system of central planning, had control of all resources. This review is
not intended to score paints, but simply to remind us of the long addiction of
economists to planning and regulation. The transition to a market economy
always and at all times involves a familiar list of policies.
First is financial
stabilization reducing the budget deficit and the monetary emissions of the
central bank. This stabilization may involve many complex policies – almost
certainly a fax reform and expenditure controls, particularly in the reduction
of subsidies. There is no consensus on pegged versus free exchange rates.
Second is deregulation,
elimination a myriad of government controls and establishing the framework for
free contractual relationships. This priority involves the recognition of
property rights and the development of a legal system suitable for a market
economy. It also implies a diminished role for the central planners as more
room is provided for private initiative and enterprise. But oddly enough it is
widely recognized that there is a need for more restraint on industry,
particularly the heavy state owned firms, to reduce pollution. Other areas of
deregulation include trade reform and currency convertibility.
Third is the reform and
privatization of state- owned concerns to this list should be added the
reduction in monopoly power not only of industry but also of trade unions, and
in particular the reform of labour laws. The reform of the banking system and
the development of commercial rather than planning criteria in banking it also
of the utmost important. An abstract model of the transition from a centralized
command economy to a market economy focusing on privatization is a novel
orientation for this chapter. In much of the literature on privatization in
central and Eastern Europe, either a case is argued for a particular transition
proposal or specific aspects of the privatization problem are isolated and
considered in detail. The model focuses on the way in which government policies
and enterprise-level decisions are made and relatively less on the specific
content of these policies and decisions. The conceptual model has been designed
with five basic premises in mind: multilateral bargaining, political economy,
heterogeneity, decentralization, and pluralism. In a world in which economic
rights are ill designed, a bargaining problem naturally arises. Throughout
Central and Eastern Europe, this problem can be conceptualized as a
multifaceted conflict between multiple interests representing workers,
management, claimants to property rights based prior ownership, foreign
investors, representatives of different group in the distribution chain, etc.
At the other extreme the
state may provide no procedural guidelines whatever as to how the issues should
be resolved in this procedural vacuum, the economic rights in question may
simply be expropriated by whichever party - typically the current management -
is strategically located to do so. Relative to the general trend that appears
to be emerging in Central and Eastern Europe, there should be made
opportunities for decentralized negotiation. The Multilateral Bargaining model
provides a useful analytical tool for investigating the effectiveness of this
approach to policy making. In other contexts, the multilateral Bargaining model
has been used descriptively to explain how during the process of multilateral
negotiation, coalitions are formed, deals are struck, and compromises are
reached.
On the other hand,
economic post-privatization economy develops, new interests will acquire
economic power and new institutions will emerge to strengthen the power of
groups that wish to defend these institutions. The dynamic interaction between
these economic and political facets of massive privatization programs must be
taken into account. Indeed, one can expect that models, which ignore political
economic feedback effects, will have a natural tendency to overestimate the
prospects for a successful transition. The following example illustrates the
kind of political-economic interaction that could adversely affect the reform
process. Policy makers in Central and Eastern Europe appear to be overly
complacent in their reliance of foreign competition as the main disciplinary
device that will force monopolists to operate efficiently. Indeed, Polish
officials cite their country’s liberal tradition in the area of trade policy
when questioned about the viability of this approach to antimonopoly policy.
Our dynamic political-economic perspective leads to skepticism about this heavy
dependence on competition from abroad. If a seems very likely, the
post-privatization industrial structure turns out to be highly
over-concentrated and inefficient, then the main effect of threatening foreign
competition will be to unleash a powerful confluence of political forces in
favor of protectionism. Owners of the domestic enterprises will lobby to defend
their rents, managers will lobby to defend privileges, and workers will lobby
to defend their jobs. Because the problem of unemployment never really arose
under communism, the potent tension between introducing free trade and
maintaining employment levels never became apparent.
Literature
1.
Clague Christpher: The Emergence of Market Economics in Eastern Europe, 2002.
2. Blanchard O., Layard
R.: Economic Change in Poland, 2002
3. World Bank: World
Development Report, 2003
4.
Giersch H.: Tawards a Market Economy in Central and Eastern Europe, Berlin 2005.