Sembieva
Lyazzat Myktybekovna
Higher
Doctorate of Economic sciences
Professor
of Eurasian National University named after Gumilev
Republic
of Kazakhstan, Astana City
INFRASTRUCTURE
OF THE KAZAKHSTAN BANKING SECTOR,
A NEED
OF ITS REFORMING
The banking sector in practice is a mirror image of
the situation in the economy. In recent months Kazakhstan shows good results
and an increase which is primarily related to the export-oriented sectors of
the economy.
As a rule, the development of Kazakhstan’s banking
system can be divided into several phases. Each phase is identified by its own
characteristic features appropriate to a particular period of historical
development of the Republic of Kazakhstan (Table 1).
Table
1. Stages of Kazakhstan banking system development
Period |
Characteristic |
1988 |
Creating on unit basis first co-operative banks, which later laid the
foundation for development of market relations in the banking sphere. Public
sector banks were reorganized, the institutional bases of banking were set
up, and the first commercial banks appeared |
1990 |
The Supreme Council of the Kazakh Soviet Socialist Republic adopted the
law "On banks and banking activities in the Kazakh SSR", which laid
the legal foundation for renovation of the Kazakhstan banking system |
1993-1995 |
The
introduction of
the national currency of the RK. The National Bank began the regulation of the banking by modern market
methods. The program of reform
of the banking system focused on several stages. The negative value of real interest rates and rapid collapse of the
ruble. This paved the way for the formation of numerous fly-by-night banks,
profiting from short-term speculation. Gradual transition of the National
Bank to fulfillment of functions of the central bank, extensive shaping and
development of commercial banks. Introduction of the national currency of the
RK. The National Bank began to regulate banking activities with up-to-date
market methods. Approval of the program of banking system renovation focused
on several steps |
1996-1998 |
Consolidation of banking capital, increase the capitalization rate of
commercial banks. Aligning banks to the international standards. Formation of
the register system. Personnel retraining to meet the international standards
requirements. Decline in the share of foreign capital in the banking sector,
as well as reducing the state share in banking capital. Reduction of number
of financially unstable banks |
1999-2003 |
A new relationship between the National Bank and the Kazakhstan
Government. Use of classical monetary-credit instruments, control of loan
volumes, interest rates, reserve requirements, short-term government
securities |
2004-2007 |
Establishment of the Agency on Regulation and
Supervision of Financial Market and Financial Institutions. Part of the
oversight functions of the National Bank delegated to the Agency. Deepening
of monetary-credit management, in particular, NBK in its current monetary
policy begun to use the method of control of inflation - inflation targeting,
the meaning of which is to anticipate and manage the level of inflation in
the financial market |
2007-2010 |
This stage is characterized by the integration of Kazakhstan's economy in
the world economy. Crude orientation of the economy, resulting in high
dependence on world prices for raw materials produced in the country, excess
of free cash and lack of sufficient opportunities for its investment,
especially from the underdeveloped stock market in the country, and as a
result a speculative atmosphere in the property market lead to high growth of
prices in this market and its overheating in the end. The aggressive lending
policies of most commercial banks are the reason for the high external debt
of the country in a relatively short period of time. The result is a crisis
in the financial sector |
2010 -present time |
This stage is characterized by a poor level of reserve funds and
low-capitalization of Kazakhstan banks, as well as complexity of access to
wholesale capital markets. This is despite the fact that the economy is
showing signs of improvement, Moody's Investors Service predicts GDP growth
in Kazakhstan on 2.8% this year, compared with 1.2% in 2009 but Kazakhstan's
banking system remains weak. A policy of post-crisis development and updating
of the national banking system is carried out |
The assets of the
banking sector over the past five years grew for more than 10 times, the owned
capital by 11 times and economic
crediting by 10 times.
If
we consider the competitiveness of the banking sector on a global scale, it is
determined by the presence of the bank’s competitive strategy:
-
the image of long-term action in the
struggle with competitors;
-
improving the quality of services;
-
reduction of costs;
-
retention and expansion of a certain
segment on the financial market;
-
development of own infrastructure;
-
increase in the capitalization and
reducing the cost of basic services provided.
Thus, the presence of
competitive advantages (both absolute and relative) at the banks contributes to
financial stability in the country, which in turn initiates the growth of
macroeconomic indicators. It needs to emphasize that the competitiveness of the
banking sector strongly affects the stability of the banking law, not to
mention its quality. Analysis of the current state of the Kazakhstan banking
system shows that there is a problem faced by our banking system, this is an
over-reliance on external funding on the one hand and the deterioration of
asset quality on the other side.
As
of the beginning of 2011 in the Kazakhstan banking sector operated 39 banks, 20
of which with foreign content and 29 representative offices of foreign banks. From the position of the foreign currency legislation, in connection
with the liberalization of the exchange regulations, currently there are no
restrictions on foreign investment inflow, except notification or registration
records. There are no restrictions of normative legal character for foreign
banks to enter the Kazakhstan market.
Trend of asset quality deterioration becomes one of
the main problems of the Kazakhstan banking system. Analysis of total assets is
presented in Table 2.
Table 2. Total assets of the
banking sector billion tenge
Indicator Title |
2009 |
2010 |
2011 |
Cash,
refined precious metals and correspondent accounts |
1 073,50 |
903,2 |
869,6 |
Deposits placed in other banks |
1 065,50 |
855,4 |
886,8 |
Securities |
1 641,90 |
2 305,10 |
2 393,40 |
Bank loans and "reverse REPO" |
9
839, 5 |
8 974,30 |
9 082,70 |
Investment in capital |
351,9 |
374,3 |
376,4 |
Reserves
(provisions) |
-4 082,5 |
-3 245,2 |
-3 251,20 |
Other
assets |
1 609, 0 |
1 781,90 |
1 785,70 |
Total
Assets |
11 558,80 |
11 948,90 |
12 143,40 |
Comments - Compiled as per data from
Kazakhstan National Bank annual reports |
According to Table 2, at the beginning of 2011 the assets of commercial
banks increased on 584.6 billion tenge or on 5.05% and equal to 12,143,40
billion tenge. Bank loans and operations "reverse REPO" increased on
756, 8 billion or on 0.2%, and account for 9,082,70 billion tenge. Reserves (provisions)
decreased on 831,3 billion tenge or on 1.5%.
The largest share in the asset structure is the
article "Bank loans and operations" reverse REPO". The share is
on average 72%. The lowest share is the article "Investing in the capital".
The share is on average equal to 2.75%. Liabilities of the banking sector, as compared to the previous
year, increased on 2,703 billion tenge and account for 10,698 billion tenge. Owned
capital in 2007 was 880 billion tenge, today it has increased on 350 billion
tenge and is respectively 1,230 billion tenge.
Depositors' confidence in the banking system increases, which indicates to an
increase in deposits on 2,041 up to 6,756 billion tenge. Return on assets (ROA)
increased on 11,3%. The greatest increase in this index occurred in 2011, which
indicates an improvement in the economic situation in the country.
For many Kazakhstan banks question on how to optimize the portfolio
liabilities is current. This is due to radical changes in the resource base of
banks in general, changes in the value of each type of resources and increase
of competition between the banks. Analysis of the structure of total
liabilities of the banking sector is presented in Table 3.
Table 3. Structure of total liabilities
Title |
2009 |
2010 |
2011 |
|||
billion tenge |
% to total |
billion tenge |
% to total |
billion tenge |
% to total |
|
Inter-bank deposits |
231,5 |
1,8 |
222,6 |
2,1 |
184,9 |
1,7 |
Loans from banks and other institutions
engaged in certain types of banking operations |
1271,8 |
10,1 |
509,9 |
4,8 |
515,9 |
4,8 |
Loans from the Government of the RK |
47,9 |
0,4 |
56,1 |
0,5 |
58,8 |
0,5 |
Loans from international financial organizations |
101,2 |
0,8 |
72,4 |
0,7 |
72,5 |
0,7 |
Deposits of legal entities |
4054,1 |
32,1 |
4604,7 |
43 |
4662,7 |
43 |
Deposits from individuals |
1850,4 |
14,7 |
2 197,40 |
20,5 |
2 303,70 |
21,3 |
Deposits of subsidiaries of special purpose |
1983 |
15,7 |
25,3 |
0,2 |
25,1 |
0,2 |
Released for circulation securities |
1263,6 |
10 |
1492 |
13,9 |
1 607,70 |
14,8 |
“REPO”
operations with securities |
509,6 |
4 |
574,7 |
5,4 |
572,2 |
5,3 |
Other commitments |
1320,2 |
10,4 |
961,3 |
9 |
835,7 |
7,7 |
Total |
12633,3 |
100 |
10716,4 |
100 |
10839,2 |
100 |
Comments:
Compiled as per data of RoK Agency on Financial Supervision Report for 2010 |
As of the beginning of 2011, total liabilities of commercial banks
decreased on1,794.1 billion or on 14.2% compared with 2009. There was an
increase of deposits of legal entities on 88.3 billion or on 1.9%, deposits of
individuals on 52.8 billion tenge or on 2.3%. Deposits of subsidiaries of special
purpose reduced on 0.3 billion tenge or on 1.2%, loans from banks and other
institutions engaged in certain types of banking transactions decreased on 32.6
billion tenge or on 6.0%.
The main imbalances liabilities of the Kazakhstan banks
at present are:
-
high level
of inter-bank resources;
-
low level of
operating assets;
-
low level of
attracted deposits.
Credit portfolio of the banking
sector is some kind of an indicator of the financial situation of the banking
system. Analysis of loan portfolio of the banking sector for three years is
presented in Table 4.
Table
4. The loan portfolio of the banking sector billion tenge
Indicator Title |
Main debt sum, billion tenge |
|||
2009 |
2010 |
2011 |
Dynamics |
|
Standard |
2524,4 |
6 611,00 |
6 690,50 |
4 166 |
Suspicious |
4241,2 |
4 988,00 |
5 083,10 |
841,9 |
Bad Loans |
3073,9 |
2 239,70 |
2 188,80 |
- 885,1 |
Total |
9839,5 |
13 838,70 |
13 962,40 |
4 123 |
From
loan portfolio quality depends on bank policy in part of placing its assets,
but being the main source of bank's income the loan portfolio is the main
source of risk for placing their funds. Thus, the loan portfolio of banks since
the beginning of 2008 increased on 5%, but since July 2009 decreased on 9%.
Major banks in Kazakhstan begins restructuring of their loan portfolios, i.e.
term prolongation, revision of rates. In this way they accumulate liquidity,
but not redirect it to its new lending but apply conservative credit policy.
Liquidity is stored for possible further losses and cover the formation
of provisions. Market participants note that asset quality will deteriorate due
to bad loans and loans which are at risk. Table 5 reflects the profitability of
the banking sector in Kazakhstan for three years.
Table 5. Total indicators of the profitability of the banking sector billion
tenge
Title |
2009 |
2010 |
2011 |
Revenues related to the receipt of
remuneration |
944,6 |
775,3 |
165,3 |
The costs associated with remuneration payment |
505,6 |
438,3 |
102,1 |
Net income attributable to the receipt of remuneration |
438,9 |
337 |
63,2 |
Income not related to the receipt of remuneration |
4026,2 |
2372,6 |
453,4 |
Costs not related to remuneration payment |
4573.9 |
2700,2 |
530,1 |
Net income (loss) not associated with the receipt of remuneration |
-547,6 |
-327,5 |
-76,7 |
Net income (loss) before income taxes payment |
-108,7 |
9,5 |
-13,5 |
Cost on income tax payment |
9,6 |
10 |
2,3 |
Net income after income tax payment |
-118,3 |
-0,5 |
-15,8 |
Comments: Compiled as per data of RK Agency on
Financial Supervision Report for 2010 |
There is the fact: the smaller bank the more net income it has. The main
reason for
this is a conservative approach in lending to population by such banks
or focus on their own corporate clients. Current state of the banking system
structure is presented in Table 6.
Table 6. Structure of the Kazakhstan banking system
The structure of the banking
system |
2009 |
2010 |
2011 |
Number of STB |
38 |
39 |
39 |
Banks with 100% state participation
in the authorized capital |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Number of STB branches |
374 |
359 |
370 |
Number of STB representatives
abroad |
13 |
17 |
17 |
Number of banks
representatives – non-residents of RK |
32 |
29 |
29 |
The number of banks participating
in the system of compulsory guarantee of depositors (deposits) of individuals
|
36 |
34 |
34 |
The number of banks licensed
to carry out custodian activity |
11 |
10 |
10 |
Comments:
Compiled as per data of RK Agency on Financial Supervision Report for 2010 |
Based on the analysis of the current state of the banking system and its
infrastructure at the present stage, we can make some conclusions. The worst indicators
of the banking sector in Kazakhstan are the following factors:
-
credit quality, including volume of
credits with overdue payment exceeding 90 days (NPL);
-
low levels of profitability;
-
capital adequacy;
-
high concentration as per loans and
deposits;
-
high sensitivity of the economy to
the impact of external negative factors.
Banking infrastructure in Kazakhstan
has certain problems, including:
-
continuously changing legislation;
-
desire of most bankers to get short
term profits, as a consequence is the development of only one way of activity;
-
a limited number of financial
institutions on debt financing;
-
deficiency of relationships with
banks of CIS countries;
-
underdevelopment of specialized
credit and banking institutions.
Thus, summing up, it should be noted
that the use of experience of the developed countries in the development,
management and improvement of banking activities and its infrastructure will
contribute to the development of the banking system and economy of the country
in general, in particular increasing the role of specialized financial-credit
institutions, development institutions and monitoring of banking activities.
Applying this experience, in our opinion, should have a positive effect, which will
help to achieve the best financial results of the banking system activity and
increase the main macroeconomic indicators of the country.