УДК 005.334(477)-049.5
V. SMOLETS
ODESSA NATIONAL MARITIME ACADEMY
UKRAINIAN ADOPTION OF THE INTERNATIONAL PRACTICE IN MANAGING THE ENERGY
SECURITY CRISIS
Over the past decade,
oil supply disruptions in the Middle East, gave impetus to the development of anti-crisis measures in energy security management.
Worst crisis was associated with the revolution in Iran in 1978. In early 2003, the market suffered from supply disruptions caused by coincidence of several events:
-
A strike at
the national oil company of Venezuela;
-
The war in Iraq;
-
Strikes in Nigeria.
The crisis was characterized by
a total reduction of oil supplies during peak
demand [1].
After the oil embargo of
1973 was marked by the global economy's energy. What prompted the emergence of
the International Energy Agency (IEA).
IEA is a specialized forum
of 28 industrialized countries, which include Australia, Austria, Belgium,
Great Britain, Hungary, Germany, Denmark, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Japan,
Luxembourg, Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Poland, Portugal , the Slovak
Republic, the USA, Turkey, Finland, France, Czech Republic, Switzerland,
Sweden, South Korea and Japan [1].
Government of the member
countries of the IEA pledged to make joint efforts to overcome the crisis in
the supply of oil. They also agreed to exchange information in the field of
energy, and to coordinate policies and to cooperate in the development of
programs for the rational use of energy. These provisions have been laid down
in the Agreement on the International Program for the Development of Energy,
with following basic purposes:
- To maintain and improve
the system for responding to disruptions in oil supply;
- Contribute to the
rational energy policies in a global context through co-operation with
countries that are not members of the organization, as well as industry and
international organizations.
- Operation of a permanent
information system on the international oil market.
- Improving the structure
of energy supply and demand in the world by developing alternative energy
sources and increase energy efficiency.
- To promote international
cooperation in the field of energy technology.
- Assistance in bringing
energy policy with efforts to protect the environment.
Since its inception, the
IEA has taken part in two cases additional oil supplies to the market through
coordinated action: in response to the Gulf War in 1991 and after the
hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico in 2005 Although the system of oil supply has
undergone tremendous change since the oil crises of the 1970’s. Still a high
risk of supply disruption, which can lead to serious economic consequences [1].
The limited production
capacity, both upstream and in the refining of oil, increases the risk of
violation of the balance between supply and demand. The current balance is so
fragile that the failure of supply of even very small amount can significantly
influence the market. Rising global demand increases tension in the market,
exacerbating the need to invest in capacity expansion.
Uncertain investment climate
in some producing countries, which is often described as nationalism against ¬ governmental
natural resources, can also prevent the development of supply in the future.
Geopolitical tensions and
terrorism create uncertainty regarding the continuity of fuel supplies. This is
a "risk premium" exacerbating the volatility of an already busy
market where existing supply of oil supplies are increasingly concentrated in a
few countries. Natural disasters, such as extreme weather conditions, can upset
the balance of supply and demand, lead to the disruption of supply or cause an
increase peak demand. unforeseen events!
Ukraine is not a member of
the IEA, but the implementation of policies and practices should be considered
in the IEA shaping national energy programs.
For Ukraine, the use of reserves should be a key aspect of the action.
Therefore, the country must have a stockpile of oil in the amount not less than
the amount of net imports in the previous year for a period of 90 days. Ukraine
needs to develop a program of demand reduction, which could be implemented in
the event of a crisis in order to release additional quantities of oil
delivered through reduced consumption. Possibility of a sharp increase in oil
production and the transition to alternative fuels are additional measures
taken by IEA member countries for a positive impact on the market during the
supply crisis. However, the lack of opportunities for the use of alternative
fuels in the production and transmission of electricity, as well as limited a
sharp increase production capacity for oil do today, these measures are not
effective for Ukraine [2].
The Ukrainian energy
security strategy should allow:
-
Monitor progress towards targets and
benchmark Ukraine’s results internationally.
-
Energy-efficiency
policies should focus on lower gas
consumption in the district heating sector and metallurgical industry by
upgrading and modernizing them.
-
Increase
oil and natural gas production,
upgrade the gas transmission system and diversify supplies.
-
Make full use of the country’s potential for renewable energy development,
particularly biogas and municipal waste for heat and power generation, and
maintain a nuclear electricity capability.
References:
1.
http://www.iea.org/newsroomandevents/pressreleases/2012/october/name,32331,en.html
2.
http://www.iea.org/publications/freepublications/publication/EPPD_Brochure_English_2012_02-1.pdf