The Ministry for Emergency Situations of the
Republic of Kazakhstan, Candidate of Science (Engineering).
Justification
of Communication Logistics in Emergency
Situations
One of the essential problems influencing the effective operation of
management system in emergency situations (ES) is insufficient information
support during the most important and major stages of prevention and relief at
emergency situations. And the question
is not only that information is often insufficient or inaccurate but also that
sometimes information is excess, unformalized or of low quality and information
flow into the system is erratic. All
the mentioned factors affect the effective operation of management system in
ES, resulting in inadequate or low operational efficiency of management
decisions. Meanwhile the modern ES management systems challenge command staff
with new tasks. The latter are conditional to growing sophistication of
management process (owing to complication of control objects), strengthening of
requirements to operational efficiency and credibility of managerial decisions.
Most of the named requirements are contradictory and due to that exacerbate the
problem.
The current trends to growth in emergency situations scale force to
develop relief and prevention measures at a full pelt but not less viable. In
order to achieve that the management structure – the management system in emergency situations – should carry on
continual improvements. How to develop ES management system and ES management
as a whole? Which direction should one head to? What is the root course of the problem?
Analysis of problems with information support during emergency response
and prevention reported that the quality of management was strongly dependant
on the system capability to timely and adequate reaction to changing
environment and timely and adequate controls activation.
Controls activations are generated as a result of processing of
information which circulates in the management system.
The 2nd information
barrier Vhuman Vhuman
According to [1], cumulative information flow circulating in the
management system (Vс) is in proportion to the
management system complexity. How can one evaluate the management system
complexity? There are several methods for evaluation of management system
complexity. Empirically the management system complexity can be evaluated with
the help of the following equation: - Complexity = С =(n+m)a, where n – is
the number of managing subsystems in operation; m – is the number of subsystems under control (control object) in
the same management system; a – is an empirical value (а = 1,8…2). By virtue of the fact that information flow Vс in the management system is in proportion to the management system
complexity, V= γ С = γ =(n+m)2 , where γ – is a proportionality
factor which is established empirically.
What are the management system capabilities in processing of the
information flow? These capabilities also relates to complexity of the
management system. If according to the information theory the value of the
management system complexity, which is (n+m)1 , whereby Vс= Vhuman
(capabilities of the
management system controlling body with one controlling element – the commander
(the chief or command officer), is the first information barrier,
then the value of the management system complexity (n+m)2, whereby
Vс= Vmax, is the second
information barrier (Figure 1). It is impossible to
break the second barrier due to the fact that when the complexity of the management
system has achieved the second barrier all the human and material resources had
been used already for the benefits of management. However this barrier can be
moved forward to the scope of responsibilities of more complex management
systems. The barrier b21, correspond to
capabilities of a managing body without computing technology with traditional
management technique with efficiency Vmax1 = γ 'nmax Vk1 .
Manual Operation Advanced Management Methods Logistical Management Methods Vhuman Vhuman
The barrier b22 corresponds to
application of advanced technological means (typically with computer systems),
but with traditional IT management, with efficiency Vmax2 = γ 'nmax Vk2. The barrier b23 corresponds to
application of more effective IT management with use of computer systems in the
process of management and efficiency Vmax3 = γ 'nmax Vk3. It can be shown that the
barrier b23 is impassable
barrier as it corresponds to application of management technologies of the
highest efficiency (computing systems and information-logistics management methods).
This barrier can be only moved forward by means of using more and more powerful
computer systems and more and more advanced information technologies, such as
information-logistics methods.
The present study proposes to move forward the second information
barrier with the help of ES informational logistics which provides optimal
consolidation of all the resources available. (Figure 2).
Bibliography
Cited:
1. А.А. Larin, Theory of Managemen, Part VI:
Automatization of Management, Handbook of Strategic Rocket Forces, Moscow,
2001, p. 351
2. S.D. Sharipkhanov, V. I. Mukhin, Basics
of Informational Logistics in Emergency Situations: Building of Event Tree of
Railway Accident. Study X, Scientific-Technical
Conference, The Scientific Technical University of the Republic of Kazakhstan
named after K. I. Satpayev, 2009, pp. 198-204.