UDC 336.7:330.3
Amanzhaev D.G., graduate student of
"Finance and Credit"
Kiev National Taras Shevchenko University
Mortgages as
a tool to stimulate real investment
The article analyzes the impact of the mortgage
on the real sector of the economy, the relationship of the mortgage and
indicators of socio-economic development.
Keywords: economic development, investments,
mortgage lending, the multiplier effect, the real economy, real estate.
Statement
of the problem. Mortgage lending is an essential factor in economic
and social development. Its
role is particularly noticeable for the country during the economic crisis. For the continuous growth of aggregate output, and
therefore the aggregate income and aggregate consumption is necessary that some
of the savings from gross income channeled through investment in product
development. Then it may be a chain reaction of increasing economic
performance.
Analysis
of research and publications. This paper investigates the influence of the
basic principles of mortgage lending for the development of real sector of the
economy and socio-economic indicators in general.
Various aspects of the formation of market
mortgage lending is reflected in the writings of both foreign and domestic
scholars. The institutional basis for the organization of the mortgage market
studied in Bazilevich V.D, Pogoreltseva N.P. [1], the multiplicative effect of
mortgage lending in the country's economy is revealed in the works J.M. Keynes
[2], the modern real estate portfolio management are analyzed by the S.
Hudson-Wilson
[3].
But in the works of authors not complete
analyzed the investment component of mortgage loan in the development of
national economy.
The aim of the study. The study aims to
analyze the impact of mortgage lending as a means of investment in the real
economy.
The
basic material research to justify the scientific findings. Development of the mortgage
business has a positive impact on the development of the real economy. Mortgage
is not only an important mechanism for solving the housing problem but also an
important mechanism for improving the investment climate, regulating the money
supply, economic and social progress in general.
One of the most significant problems is the
problem of "convertibility" of tangible assets to cash and deposit
the funds in securities. Particularly important mechanism for such a
"conversion" is a mortgage because of the capital, which is included
in the concept of "property", and the presence of a unique real
estate properties - the inability to move across the border [3, c. 46].
The mechanism of mortgage lending increases the
number of housing. This, in turn, stimulates the development of the real
economy, as construction materials and designs, construction and road
machinery, woodworking and furniture production etc. Commercial mortgage
lending makes it possible to modernize the production, which leads to better
quality and competitive products - all this leads to an increase in economic
potential.
Also, mortgage lending is an effective mechanism
to improve the socio-economic development indicators of the country to overcome
social instability.
With the help of a mortgage in the country
solved the problem by expanding employment jobs in construction and allied
areas.
The main objective of long-term mortgage lending
- is the creation of an effectively functioning system of ensuring affordable
housing for people with middle income countries.
Creating this system allow [a, c. 416]:
- to increase the purchasing power of clients and to make housing
affordable for the general population;
- to intensify the housing market;
- engage in a real economic turnover privatized housing;
-
bring in housing savings and other off-budgetary funds;
- ensure the development of construction industry;
- to revive the economy as a whole.
The system of long-term mortgage lending should be based on existing
international experience in the development of mortgage lending, to be adapted
to the national legislative framework to take into account macroeconomic
conditions, limited solvency of the population and inflation.
The mechanism of development of mortgage lending could play a positive
role for the economic development of any country. It is no accident "New
Deal" of Roosevelt began with the development of residential mortgage
lending [5]. It was not only U.S. but also in other countries, where economic
recovery was accompanied by the development of mortgage lending.
Since the satisfaction of housing needs is a priority for any state, the
development of residential real estate segment is of paramount importance for
the development of national economy. In developed countries, residential real
estate has long been one of the main objects of investment income investor [4].
Residential real estate has a high cost, especially compared to
household income. The expansion of financial opportunities for people to
purchase housing in many countries is achieved through the successful
application of residential mortgage lending. In this case, the role of mortgage
lending is to overcome the imbalance between current household income and
consumer standards for housing.
So, investment in the property market is an attractive way to invest
funds. An investor buying securities collateralized by real estate, reduces the
risk of its investment portfolio. S. Hudson-Wilson in her book "Real
Estate Portfolio Management," examines mortgage lending as a function of
two investment processes [3, p. 18]. The first - a mortgage is an
investment tool for borrowers who can buy property before he could do this
entirely at their own expense. Second - it is the lender who gets the
opportunity to invest in a permanent income for a long time. In accordance with
the classical theories of financial investment each subsequent intermediaries
that purchase mortgages and securitized mortgage debt also receive stable and
predictable earnings. The efficiency and profitability of the mortgage as an
investment tool is the effect of financial leverage.
Any property in a market system with a developed economy and housing
market formed not only as a stable asset, but as real estate, income.
Development of residential real estate sector creates multiplier effects
on the development of the entire national economy. The basis for this approach
to the role of the housing sector is the classical theory of J.M. Keynes [2].
According to this theory, stimulating demand for goods and services leads to an
expansion of their production and thus helps to increase the national wealth,
especially large effect is obtained by stimulating consumer durables goods and
investment character goods. That the consumption of these commodities is the
involvement of other sectors of the economy and increases the multiplier effect
of all the participants of economic relations.
Consider the scheme of the multiplier effect in the housing sector. The
increase in residential mortgage loans contributes to the development of the
housing sector, which leads the development of adjacent industries.
Commissioning of new housing increases the demand for the following industries:
construction materials, design and other services, durable goods (furniture,
household appliances, more furnishings). The costs of homeowners are income
other participants of economic relations, which contributes to the spread of
contagion to increase national income [3, p. 65]. This involvement of various
sectors of the economy in the production process increases the efficiency of
the national economy through a chain reaction, "the revenues - expenses
and taxes." Goods and services in the housing and adjacent sectors of the
economy characterized by high cost, so their purchase is not without attraction
of credit resources. Thus, the multiplier effect of spending and tax increases
also the influence of the credit multiplier.
The process of
creating a multiplier effect in the housing sector is shown in Fig. A.
Source: Compiled by author
Fig.
A. Creating a multiplier effect in the housing sector
One of the main issues discussed in defining the role of housing loans
is adjusted for inflation.
The main characteristics of the real estate market are the high cost of
its objects, and low elasticity of price proposal - with the change in value of
its housing supply in the market is almost unchanged. Inelasticity of supply is
due, primarily, the duration of the construction period. Therefore, the housing
market the main controlling factor is price. That is why the housing market
there is always the danger of "speculative bubbles", i.e. when the
current cost of housing is higher than its fair market value. Therefore, it is
imperative to state regulation of the housing sector of the economy.
With the economic downturn the state should adopt policies aimed at
stimulating demand for housing. With economic recovery, this stimulating effect
could lead to overheating when excessive increase in investment in construction
will be completed in its unprofitable due to the deterioration of general
economic conditions and falling demand as compared with the expected volume.
Therefore, government policy should be as well thought-out, so that if
necessary to slow down the destabilizing process in the construction sector. Of
particular importance, this issue is in the case of the mass distribution of
housing loans, as a fall in economic activity increases unemployment, and
incomes are unstable. At the same time in the stage of the economic downturn
increases pressure on the housing market. This leads to a drop in its price.
All these factors increase the likelihood of default by borrowers and increase
in bad loans, which was the main cause of the global financial crisis that
began in the U.S. [4].
Of great importance is the mortgage, and to improve the stability and
efficiency of the banking system. Secured loans are more secure (compared to
the blank) for banks, since the non-repayment loan collateral and the bank
sells your money back. Of course, if the mortgage is required for the proper
assessment of the property and developed real estate market. Reduce the risk in
mortgage lending also helps targeted loans. Real estate transactions are often
less risky than current lending operations of commercial banks.
Mortgage banks at the national level are usually combined in the
association. Establishment within the Mortgage Bankers Association of the
additional reserves to guarantee the deposits placed in the mortgage banks,
also strengthens the banking system.
There is another important side effect of mortgage on the stability of
the banking system related to the functioning secondary market for loans
secured by mortgages. This market facilitates the transfer of capital to more
profitable area of the economy (diversification of bank capital), as well as reduces the
difference between interest rates in different geographic areas, which
contributes to a single cost of capital on a national scale.
Some economists believe that the massive issuance of mortgage loans for
housing leads to increased inflation, and thus have a negative impact on the
economy as a whole [1, 3]. If the economy which is characterized by
insufficient availability of housing, increase the volume of mortgage loans,
this will increase the demand for residential property, both the primary and
secondary housing markets. Construction companies, receiving additional income,
increase the amount of construction. But due to the duration of the period of
construction, the necessary proposal for the housing market will be reached
only after several years. Mismatch of supply and demand can lead to a
significant increase in prices and contribute to inflation.
Despite this negative fact, be aware that housing is a necessary
condition for the existence and the primary human need. Due to the high cost of
housing compared to income of citizens, a mortgage is an essential element of
the economy, allowing people to satisfy the need for housing. Second, the mortgage loan to economic growth in the
country. In this connection it is necessary that the state has assumed
the role of coordinating body.
The situation when the mass introduction of
residential mortgage lending may lead to unnecessary increase in housing prices
and inflation can only occur as a result of inadequate government policies. In the short term, the mass introduction of mortgage
lending will increase demand for housing. Due to
the inelastic supply of housing in the short run, of course, that this
situation will lead to an increase in housing prices. The role of government
consists in the gradual introduction of mortgage lending, while in the planned
expansion of the housing market by supporting the construction of new homes and
create an adequate demand. Only in this case, the development of the
construction sector have a positive impact on the development of the economy as
a whole [1, p. 418].
Conclusions. Thus, the value of the mortgage to the economy is as
follows:
- involvement in the form of real estate capital into the economy
through the mechanisms of collateral, a secondary market for mortgage
securities - a significant factor in economic recovery;
- the real estate market "ties" a significant portion of these
funds and thus is an important anti-inflationary factor;
- the money people invested in real estate construction, in fact,
included in the infrastructure of the village, city, local construction
industry in creating and maintaining jobs, and do not go to the side (for
example, do not fund foreign producers through the purchase of imported
consumer goods);
- for the work to master the technology of banks lending on the security,
especially for mortgages, lets take a step towards a common system in the world
to guarantee the repayment of loans.
Thus, the mortgage lending can be considered a type of investment in
capital construction.
All of this leads to an objective need for the development of the
mortgage. The key to attract the same terms and
conditions of credit resources into long-term mortgage loans are the creation
of more favorable economic and political environment, developing needed legal
and regulatory framework and improving welfare. One of the central issues -
standardization of procedures for issuing and servicing of mortgage loans, the
rules for assessing the solvency of borrowers, as well as financial instruments
to raise funds.
The system of mortgage lending should be based
primarily on the efficient use of borrowed funds of private individuals,
commercial banks, lenders, investors, and less funding from the state budget,
but the state should take the role of the regulator in this process on
macroeconomic level.
List of sources
1. Базилевич В. Д., Погорєльцева Н. П. Іпотечний ринок.–
К.:
Знання, 2008.– 717 с.
2. John Maynard Keynes, The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. London:
Macmillan, 1936, p.
383
3. Susan Hudson-Wilson. Modern real estate portfolio
management. – NY: Frank J. Fabozzi Associates New Hope, Pensylvania, 2000, 239
p.
4.
The Global
Competitiveness Report: 2010-2011, 2009-2010, 2008-2009, 2007-2008. World
Economic Forum [электронный ресурс]. Режим доступа: URL: www.weforum.org
5.
Official
website of the Ukrainian National Mortgage Association. - [Electronic
resource]. - Mode of access: http://www.unia.com.ua
6.
National
Bank of Ukraine. - [Electronic resource]. - Mode of access: http://www.bank.gov.ua