Ecology
METHOD TO
ASSESSMENT OF RISK TO PUBLIC HEALTH ENVIRONMENTAL CONCERNS
Bekmagambetova
Z.D., Toguzbayeva
K.K., Karakushikova
A.S., Dzhumasheva R.T., Kaynarbaeva M.S., Madigulov
A.R., Niyazbekova L.S.,
Seyduanova L.B.,
Saylybekova A.K.,
Nurshabekova A.B.
Kazakh National Medical University (KazNMU) named
after S.D. Asfendiyarov
Сourse of Occupational Health, Almaty, Kazakhstan
Abstract. In the region of testing
rocket-nuclear sites in Western Kazakhstan overall morbidity of the population,
and the incidence of certain classes of nosology according to a thorough
medical examination to 10.6 times higher than the benchmarks. Found high rates
of relative (to 10.5) and absolute (up 144.9%) risks public health indicators
of environmentally troubled region.
Key words: environmental factors,
nuclear missile ranges, the risk to health, public health.
I. Introduction. For a number of areas of
western Kazakhstan, near which for many years conducted the nuclear and missile
and nuclear tests in the "Kapustin Yar" and "Azgyr, the question
of hygienic assessment of the risk of environmental hazards to human health is
not deep enough understood.
In our
previous studies found that pollution levels are the main objects of the
environment (soil, water reservoirs, wild vegetation, agricultural products of
plant and animal origin) in areas close to these test sites radionuclides
(cesium, strontium) and heavy metals (lead, cadmium, Nickel, etc.) far exceed
the benchmarks, and in some cases, limit values [1, 2]. In this regard, the
study of the influence of human factors associated with nuclear and missile and
nuclear tests, on morbidity from a position of risk assessment is of great
scientific interest.
II. Formulation of the problem. The purpose of
this study is to identify risk factors for health of the rural population
living near the area of testing nuclear missile ranges. Has been studied public
health in the region of testing rocket-nuclear sites (more than 100 thousand
people), according to the overall incidence and grade nosology according to
ICD-10, derived from a comprehensive medical examination by a continuous,
covering about 11% of the population. Control study conducted in the
settlements located on the border "Kapustin Yar" and "Azgyr at a
distance, respectively, over 500 km and 200 km.
To
determine the coefficients by the relative (RR) and attribute (AP)-risk
population in the region of test sites were to use the average incidence of
people living near landfills, and the morbidity of the population control
settlements. Determination of ER and AR were carried out according to existing
methods [3, 4].
"Guidelines
for assessing human health risk when exposed to chemical substances polluting
the environment" (R 2.1.10. 1929-04, 2004) and "Guidance on the
public health risk of chemical environmental factors" (Astana, 2007 city).
To
study the influence of some anthropogenic factors on the health of the
population studied regions was used by multiple correlation and regression
analysis between the indicators of morbidity and annual real chemical load
(RHN) on the body of heavy metals and radionuclides, as with the local staple
foods of plant and animal origin and with drinking water decentralized sources.
III. Results. The study of population
health according to a thorough medical examination revealed that the rate of
general morbidity and morbidity in the context of individual classes of nosology
(according to ICD-X) in the towns of the region "Kapustin Yar" was
higher than in the control village (p. Oleksandrivka). The overall incidence
exceeded the target of 1.8 times, and the class of "Infectious and
parasitic diseases in various localities in the 1,4 - 1,8 times,"
Neoplasms"- 1,7 - 2,0 times," Diseases blood and blood-forming organs
"- a 8.7 - 11.6 times, endocrine disorders, nutritional and metabolic -
5,2 - 5,4 times," Mental and behavioral disorders - in 3,1 - 1,4 times,
"Diseases of the circulatory system - 2,0 - 3,0," Respiratory
diseases "- 2,6 - 1,7 times," Diseases of the musculoskeletal system
and connective tissue - 1, 4 - 1,4 times, "Diseases of the genitourinary
system" - 1,1 - 1,9 times, "Congenital malformations, deformations and
chromosomal abnormalities - in 9,6 - 10,6 times. By class "Certain
conditions originating in the perinatal period" and "Symptoms, signs,
abnormalities identified in laboratory and other studies - Pathology found only
in advanced human settlements, and in control - was not. Analyzing the average
incidence of population in the region "Kapustin Yar" You can select a
group of classes of diseases, a priority in the overall structure of
pathologies: "Diseases of the digestive system» (490,8 ‰), «Diseases of blood
and blood-forming organs» (420,9 ‰) "Diseases of the circulatory system»
(360,1 ‰), «Respiratory diseases» (331,5 ‰).
The
region polygon "Azgyr" total incidence of these in-depth medical
examinations of different localities ranged from 3131,8 ‰ prior to 4256,8 ‰,
whereas in the control section Ganyushkino - 2303,2 ‰, that in 1,4 - 1,8 times
lower. Analysis of the structure of morbidity of the population of this region
revealed that a number of classes of diseases ("diseases of the digestive
system", "Diseases of the genitourinary system," "Diseases
of the circulatory system", "Diseases of blood and blood-forming
organs", "Mental and behavioral disorders,"
"Neoplasms") was significantly higher than control values (P <0.05
to P <0.001).
To
better understand this problem, we calculated the relative and attributive
risks of morbidity regions of test sites "Azgyr" and "Kapustin
Yar", subject to the harmful influence of anthropogenic factors related to
the operation of landfills. For this purpose the average incidence of people
living near landfills, and the morbidity of the population control settlements.
It was
found that the region polygon "Azgyr" the relative risk of overall
morbidity was 1.6, and by class of disease from 1,1 to 4,6. Thus the greatest
PR (I to V of rank places) have been detected by class "Infectious and
parasitic diseases" - 4,6, "Diseases of the digestive system -
3,7," Neoplasms"- 3,3," Congenital malformations, deformations
and chromosomal abnormalities "and" endocrine disorders, nutritional
and metabolic - 2,1, "Diseases of blood and blood-forming organs" -
2,0.
Attributive
risk to public health in the region polygon "Azgyr" total incidence
was 144.9% and for different classes of pathologies from 1,1% to 15,7%. The
highest AR (I to III place rank) are set by class "Diseases of the
digestive system" - 15,7%, "Diseases of blood and blood-forming
organs" - 12,2%, "Diseases of the circulatory system" - 11,0%.
The
relative risk of total morbidity in the region "Kapustin Yar" on the
level of impact factors was 1.8, and for some types of diseases - from 1,1 to
10,5. The highest relative risks (I to III place rank) identified by class
"Congenital malformations, deformations and chromosomal
abnormalities" - 10,5, "Diseases of blood and blood-forming
organs" - 10,2, endocrine disorders, nutritional and metabolic "-
5,3.
Attributive
risk for common diseases of the population of the region polygon region,
"Kapustin Yar" from exposure to harmful anthropogenic factors totaled
128.4%. Attributive risk of morbidity in the region "Kapustin Yar"
for individual classes of diseases on the level of impact factors ranged from
1.7% to 37.9%. The highest AR (I to III place rank) are set to "diseases
of blood and blood-forming organs" - 37,9%, "Diseases of skin and
subcutaneous tissue" - 33,1%, "Diseases of the circulatory
system" - 21,8%.
Multiple
correlation and regression analysis between the incidence of the population
above mentioned regions and the actual chemical load (RHN) on the body of heavy
metals and radionuclides, with local foods from plants and animals, and with
decentralized drinking water sources, has shown that there is a connection
between the real loads of heavy metals in plant and animal foods and the level
of morbidity in the region of western Kazakhstan test sites for the classes
"Infectious and Parasitic Diseases" (Co, Zn), «Neoplasms» (Fe, Ni),
«Diseases of the circulatory system" (Co) "Diseases of the digestive
system» (Fe, Cd). At the same time, the morbidity of the population of the
region, by class of "Diseases of blood and blood-forming organs",
"Endocrine disorders, nutrition and metabolism", "Congenital
malformations, deformations and chromosomal abnormalities" had a direct
correlation with the actual nutritional stress not only heavy metals (Co, Pb,
Cu, Zn, Cd), but also man-made 137Cs.
IV. Conclusions. Thus, the results of a
comprehensive sanitary survey conducted in the region nuclear-missile testing
ranges in Western Kazakhstan, indicating the presence of combined exposure to
harmful anthropogenic factors on health. High levels of general morbidity of
the population of the region, as well as the incidence of several classes of
diseases are caused by the influence of complex chemical (heavy metals) and
physical (radiation) factors. Due to the current adverse ecological conditions
in these areas must conduct ongoing monitoring of the main objects of the
environment, as well as regular preventive medical examinations of the
population.
Literature
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Authors:
1.
Bekmagambetova Zhamilya Dzhataevna - MD, PhD, PhD, Prof.
2.
Toguzbayev Karlygash Kabdeshevna - MD, PhD, PhD, Prof., Head of the Department
of Occupational Hygiene
3. Lukashev Anatoly Alekseevich - MD, PhD, PhD, Prof.
Mailing address: Kazakhstan, 050099 Almaty,
Furmanova st. 247, Apt. 24, Z.D. Bekmagambetova.